Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 7.655860 8.776331 10.020581 11.507632 13.240331 15.200018 17.590739
2025-01-05 6.172446 7.614390 9.349116 11.600525 14.460839 17.994011 22.720591
2025-01-12 5.215563 6.779920 8.773350 11.520571 15.240621 20.148595 27.189870
2025-01-19 4.521271 6.129058 8.274875 11.379939 15.810453 21.983794 31.375539
2025-01-26 4.166344 5.861194 8.218070 11.780804 17.110312 24.914924 37.447055
2025-02-02 3.838797 5.578966 8.088042 12.030783 18.183315 27.606291 43.499090
2025-02-09 3.623408 5.426639 8.115372 12.496177 19.609335 30.976065 51.068615
2025-02-16 3.252672 4.996286 7.670877 12.164802 19.713780 32.225992 55.262938
2025-02-23 2.979817 4.687627 7.378394 12.033588 20.111384 33.978669 60.537396
2025-03-02 2.746860 4.418216 7.118239 11.919396 20.509561 35.756333 66.078707
2025-03-09 2.529597 4.153145 6.837416 11.734067 20.749739 37.261478 71.292802
2025-03-16 2.322112 3.885330 6.525790 11.458103 20.785347 38.377205 75.876025
2025-03-23 2.259048 3.862541 6.638363 11.967142 22.360700 42.645832 87.625081
2025-03-30 2.139646 3.729830 6.543816 12.080300 23.185257 45.543381 96.941587
2025-04-06 2.004188 3.556088 6.358277 11.997818 23.606036 47.663088 104.867148
2025-04-13 1.873364 3.379656 6.151594 11.850860 23.873535 49.485680 112.392271
2025-04-20 1.825112 3.353256 6.224763 12.270000 25.374780 54.163669 127.490508
2025-04-27 1.761030 3.290912 6.222209 12.531405 26.563291 58.297283 141.968225
2025-05-04 1.725924 3.281694 6.322572 13.018131 28.308151 63.944651 161.355924
2025-05-11 1.605993 3.094710 6.049629 12.671558 28.107593 64.941016 168.518944
2025-05-18 1.516724 2.962967 5.879271 12.534338 28.380835 67.128364 179.358744
2025-05-25 1.436078 2.842926 5.723666 12.414924 28.682388 69.424977 190.930826
2025-06-01 1.354834 2.715793 5.543150 12.221130 28.779559 71.208590 201.328452